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Bernard Spragg. NZ from Christchurch, New Zealand via wikimedia

The Hang Seng valuation gap to global peers reaches a decade high

The index trades at 9.1 times forward earnings. That is either an opportunity or an accurate price, and the market cannot agree which.

The Hang Seng Index trades at 9.1 times forward earnings, against roughly 21 times for the S&P 500 and 14 times for a broad developed market index. The discount is the widest in a decade.

A valuation gap is not by itself an argument. It is the start of a question: is the market mispricing these assets, or is it pricing risks that the multiple correctly reflects.

The case that it is too cheap

Many constituents generate substantial cash, pay meaningful dividends and hold net cash on the balance sheet. Several trade below book value. Buyback activity has increased, which is management expressing its own view.

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